Wednesday, May 20, 2009

Fed Reluctant to Guarantee Muni Borrowings as Hearings Begin

(Bloomberg) -- The Federal Reserve will tell a congressional committee today that it is reluctant to extend guarantees to California and other municipal market borrowers struggling to sell bonds.

The House Financial Services Committee, chaired by Massachusetts Democrat Barney Frank, is conducting hearings on four municipal finance bills, including one that would give the Fed authority to guarantee the repayment of variable-rate bonds and short-term notes. Another measure would create a public finance office in the Treasury Department to reinsure $50 billion of municipal bonds through 2015. Insurers, including MBIA Inc. and Ambac Financial Group Inc., have lost top ratings, limiting the value of that coverage.

The Fed has “important misgivings” about guaranteeing municipal bonds, David Wilcox, the deputy director of the Fed’s research and statistics division, said in prepared remarks for the hearing that the committee released late yesterday. He urged Congress to “narrowly” tailor any program if it does proceed, ensuring a quick exit for the government.

“The Federal Reserve believes that such a role is better suited to elected officials and the administration than to the central bank,” Wilcox said in his remarks regarding the proposed legislation.

State and federal lawmakers have pressed the Fed and Treasury to extend support to municipal securities since the Troubled Asset Relief Program, or TARP, was introduced last year. Municipal bond sales tumbled after the bankruptcy of Lehman Brothers Holdings Inc. in September, according to data compiled by Bloomberg.

California Plea

California Treasurer Bill Lockyer wrote to Treasury Secretary Timothy Geithner on May 13 asking him to extend the TARP to states and local governments facing “a severe cash flow crunch in the near term due to eroding tax revenues resulting from the current economic downturn.”

California, which is rated A by Standard & Poor’s, the lowest for a U.S. state, may need as much as $23 billion in short-term borrowing, according to state’s Legislative Analyst’s Office. Voters rejected a package of budget-balancing measures this week, increasing the need for such financing.

A federal backstop may lower the cost of issuing the securities by about $1 billion, said James Reynolds, chief executive officer at Loop Capital Markets LLC. California sold two short-term note issues totaling $5.8 billion last year, according to Thomson Reuters.

“That’s real money,” said Reynolds, whose Chicago-based company led the sale of $2.5 billion of municipal bonds last year, according to Thomson Reuters. “That’s real jobs,” he said, referring to the threat of more state worker terminations in California, where the state plans to fire 5,000 of its 200,000 workforce.

Variable-Rate Notes

Municipal borrowers selling short-term notes or variable- rate demand notes, or VRDNs, often seek a bank guarantee to buy the securities if there is no demand from investors when rates periodically reset. Variable-rate bonds mature in as many as 30 years with rates resetting weekly or monthly. The notes mature within 13 months.

Illinois sold two series of 4 percent notes totaling $1 billion on May 14, the largest deal this year -- a $500 million series maturing on April 26, 2010, and the other maturing May 20, 2010.

“Things have improved a lot, but this California situation is highlighting the vulnerability of the market right now,” said Chris Mier, a municipal market strategist at Loop Capital.

Bernanke Letter

Fed Chairman Ben S. Bernanke said in a March 31 letter to members of the House that a $1 trillion program under the TARP for reviving the asset-backed securities market wasn’t appropriate for variable-rate demand notes. Bernanke also said that much of the municipal market had improved this year, permitting states to resume conventional fixed-rate sales.

Frank, the chairman of the House committee, has pressed for changes in the municipal market since last year when demand for state and local government securities plummeted amid the global credit crisis. One of the four bills being heard today is the revival of his legislation prohibiting credit rating companies from evaluating municipal debt with standards differing from those used for corporate bonds.

The committee will also consider legislation requiring state and local government financial advisers to register with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission. The measure would aim to curb so-called pay for play in which advisers sell services to public agencies by currying favor among public officials.

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Tuesday, May 19, 2009

AIG investors to get $843 million: SEC

(Reuters) - A federal court has approved the distribution of more than $843 million to harmed investors at insurer American International Group, the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission said on Tuesday.

The court estimates that checks will soon be mailed to more than 257,000 AIG investors that were affected by an alleged accounting fraud at the company, the SEC said.

AIG, which has been propped up by billions of dollars in taxpayer funds, was charged with accounting fraud in 2006. The SEC alleged that the insurer falsified its financial statements from at least 2000 until 2005 and reported misleading information about its financial condition.

The company, which did not admit or deny the allegations, had repaid its ill-gotten gains, as well as penalties to the government. In 2007, a federal court authorized the SEC to establish a 'fair fund' to distribute the money to harmed AIG investors.

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Sunday, May 17, 2009

Asian consumers go back to basics in downturn

(Reuters) - Forget about bells and whistles. Asians have gone back to basics in the economic slowdown and are opting for no-frills, lower-priced products rather than brand names and items with fancy features that rarely get used.

Manufacturers across the region, the world's largest producer of electronics and white goods, are more than happy to oblige as they scramble for orders that will keep their heads above water until the economic tide changes.

"People are hesitant to buy top-notch, expensive models, but they still want to buy decent ones with some useful functions," said Kohei Ueda, a general manager at Bic Camera, a major consumer electronics chain in Japan.

From laptops without standard accessories such as CD-roms, to rice cookers and microwave ovens with minimal functions, brands such as Samsung and LG Electronics are quickly introducing basic items that can be sold at lower price points.

It's all about surviving the slowdown which has dealt a severe blow to Asia's export-dependent economies such as South Korea which saw exports drop 25 percent in the first quarter of the year alone.

"In an economic downturn, liquidity problems outweigh the factor of profits. Therefore, it would be important to keep their factories running and pay back debt," said Choe Soon-kyoo, a professor of Yonsei University's business school in Seoul.

"They are adopting that (low-price) strategy to maintain liquidity rather than to make profits," he added.

Buoyant sales from these products are providing relief, and much needed cash flow, to companies that posted heavy profit falls or swung to quarterly losses early this year such as Samsung Electronics whose earnings plummeted to 619 billion won in the March quarter from 2.2 trillion won a year ago.

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Central banks may need more power for financial stability

(Reuters) - Central banks might need more power to oversee banks if they are to play a larger role in maintaining financial stability in the post-crisis world, a Bank for International Settlements (BIS) report said on Sunday.

The report also said central banks should examine issues such as the make-up of policymaking bodies, their independence, voting habits and finances as their role evolves.

"The current global financial crisis could well have ... important implications for central banks, particularly with respect to their role in fostering financial stability," said the report, by the Central Bank Governance group.

"If central banks are to play a key role in dealing with systemic risk when applying a more macroprudential approach, they may also need to have closer oversight of systemically significant institutions."

But the report said there was no magic bullet for arranging central bank governance to deal with the new challenges, as their roles as well as political and economic conditions differ from each other.

"What is suitable for one country will not be for another. Hence, setting down a single set of best practices is not feasible."

Financial stability, for its part, would be difficult to codify in central bank objectives, as it is not as simple as naming a range for consumer price growth as an inflation target.

"Financial stability is ... somewhat incomplete as a guiding light for policy actions and as a basis for accountability," it said.

"Financial stability is not an absolute objective -- most economists would agree that financial variables should be flexible, and should change, and sometimes sharply. The question is by how much and in what circumstances."

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Thursday, May 14, 2009

U.S. financial reform to be unveiled despite clashes

(Reuters) - The Obama administration's plan to reshape the opaque world of derivatives trading, unveiled on Wednesday, is only a preview of sweeping financial reform proposals that may be announced as soon as next week.

The White House and Treasury, responding to the global financial crisis, have firm ideas about tightening oversight of hedge funds, streamlining bank regulation, shaking up executive pay standards and protecting consumers.

But two key components of the administration's approach -- policing "systemic risk" and winding down troubled financial firms -- are dividing senior officials and lawmakers, which will likely cause delays in getting broad reforms enacted.

Treasury Secretary Timothy Geithner, a chief architect, acknowledged on Wednesday the proposals might not sit well with everyone. "It's not going to be comfortable for everybody but it's important to do," he told a group of bankers.

The regulatory reform drive comes as economies around the globe continue to reel from a credit market paralysis triggered by a sudden plunge in the value of exotic securities created during the U.S. real estate boom. U.S. President Barack Obama has vowed to pursue changes to prevent another such crisis.

His administration's approach centers on a powerful, new "systemic risk" regulator, likely to be the U.S. Federal Reserve, backed by a council of regulators, including the Federal Deposit Insurance Corp, which will also get new powers, according to sources briefed on the plan.

That compromise has emerged after a debate between advocates of centralized financial supervision and skeptics who fear making the Fed too powerful, especially in view of its shaky record in handling troubled insurer AIG (AIG.N).

The administration looks poised to put the FDIC at the center of newly streamlined bank regulations. Other agencies' rulebooks will be rewritten to conform with an FDIC standard, preventing banks from shopping around for a lax regulator.

But other bank overseers, such as the Comptroller of the Currency and the Office of Thrift Supervision, for now, will not be slated for shutdown, the sources said.

As part of its effort, the Treasury will emphasize the need for global cooperation, wary of the risk that financial firms might flee to jurisdictions with looser regulations.

PLANS IN CONGRESS

Geithner said on May 8 that Congress would get "the broad comprehensive framework within the next couple weeks, and we hope to move forward quickly with legislation."

Democratic lawmakers and the White House want to enact reforms by the year-end, but the deadline looks less realistic as the proposal expands.

"The problem is that as you start adding more new issues, the consensus starts breaking down," said Wayne Abernathy, an executive at the American Bankers Association.

Many of the proposals involve sensitive structural changes that threaten existing bureaucracies and cross jurisdictional lines among congressional committees.

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GM near deal with UAW

(Reuters) - Under the direction of the U.S. Treasury, General Motors Corp is close to a deal with the United Auto Workers that would cut its hourly labor costs by more than $1 billion a year, the Wall Street Journal said, citing people familiar with the matter.

GM expects to halve its remaining cash outlays for retiree health costs to about $10 billion, and supplement that contribution with a 39 percent equity stake in the reorganized company, the people told the paper.

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Wednesday, May 13, 2009

Panasonic seen posting $1.1 billion loss in 2009/10

(Reuters) - Japan's Panasonic Corp (6752.T) is likely to post a net loss of more than 100 billion yen ($1.1 billion) for the year ending in March 2010, the Yomiuri newspaper reported, as the consumer electronics maker grapples with a stronger yen and slowing demand.

That is in line with an average estimate of a 105.4 billion yen net loss in a poll of 17 analysts by Thomson Reuters.

Analysts expect the company to suffer a second straight year of losses this financial year, as the industry is mired in a global slump that is shaping up to be nastier than the last major downturn in 2001 after the IT bubble.

Separately, the Sankei newspaper said Panasonic was likely to forecast an operating profit for this financial year but project a net loss due to costs to pull out of unprofitable operations.

Panasonic spokesman Akira Kadota said the reported figure was not something the company had announced.

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Most U.S. homeowners think a bottom has been reached: Zillow

(Reuters) - Most American homeowners believe their home's value has declined over the past year, but a majority also think a bottom has been reached, real estate website Zillow.com said on Thursday.

A majority, or 60 percent, believe their home lost value during the past 12 months, according to the Zillow Q1 Homeowner Confidence Survey.

In reality, 80 percent of homes across the country lost value during the past 12 months, according to Zillow's first-quarter Real Estate Market Reports.

Additionally, 18 percent believe their home gained value in the past 12 months, and 22 percent believe its value remained the same, according to the survey.

That resulted in a Zillow Home Value Misperception Index of five -- the lowest it has been since Zillow introduced the index in the second quarter of 2008 and down from 10 in the fourth quarter of 2008. A Misperception Index of zero would mean homeowners perceptions' were in line with actual values.

"The perception of American homeowners is finally catching up to reality, which is that 80 percent of all homes in the country lost value during this past year," Dr. Stan Humphries, Zillow's vice president of data and analytics, said in a statement accompanying the survey.

"While homeowners are now more realistic when looking backward, they are still pretty starry-eyed when looking forward, with three out of four homeowners believing that their own homes' prices will increase or be flat over the next six months. Unfortunately, there are few markets we expect to perform this well," he said.

Most homeowners -- 74 percent -- believe their home will not decline in value in the coming six months, effectively calling a bottom to their own home's housing slide, Zillow said.

Specifically, one in four homeowners, or 27 percent, think their home's value will increase in the next six months, while nearly half, or 47 percent, believe its value will remain the same. Homeowners were similarly optimistic when it came to predicting home values in their local markets, the survey showed.

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Tuesday, May 12, 2009

Hitachi down 10 percent, sees wider loss than consensus

(Reuters) - Shares in Hitachi Ltd (6501.T), Japan's biggest electronics maker, tumbled 10 percent after its wider-than-expected loss estimate spooked investors who expected its restructuring steps would help improve its earnings.

A price slump and weak demand have hurt almost every corner of Hitachi's sprawling operations, hitting its auto and chip businesses especially hard and forcing the company to book the biggest-ever annual loss by a Japanese manufacturer.

Hitachi shares lost 128 billion yen ($1.3 billion) in market value on Wednesday after it forecast a 270 billion yen net loss for the year to next March, more than double the consensus of a 125.2 billion yen loss predicted in a poll of 16 analysts by Thomson Reuters.

The loss estimate, meaning it would lose money for a fourth straight year, would still be much smaller than the 787.3 billion yen loss for last financial year.

That massive loss had prompted Hitachi to map out a $5 billion cost-cutting plan for the current year and shift resources to more stable infrastructure operations, and it had said it expected tough going again this year.

"Hitachi is making progress in structural reforms at its challenged businesses such as automotive and digital media/consumer electronics," Credit Suisse analyst Hideyuki Maekawa said in a note to clients.

"But its latest projection seems to make clear that its cost-cutting efforts will not be enough to offset the impact of reduced revenues in its profitable businesses."

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Monday, May 11, 2009

Honda May Pass Chrysler in North America Production

(Bloomberg) -- Honda Motor Co., Japan’s second- biggest automaker, may build more vehicles than bankrupt Chrysler LLC in North America this year, further weakening Detroit’s grip on its home market.

Honda narrowed the gap to 17,011 vehicles at the end of April from 236,645 a year earlier, and with most Chrysler plants shut for as long as 60 days analysts expect the Japanese automaker to overtake its rival. Honda may also surpass Chrysler in U.S. sales to trail only bankruptcy-threatened General Motors Corp., Toyota Motor Corp. and Ford Motor Co.

“There’s a sea change under way,” said Michael Robinet, an analyst at forecaster CSM Worldwide in Northville, Michigan. “This crisis with Chrysler and GM has acted as an accelerant to the systemic change that was already occurring.”

Toyota passed Chrysler in U.S. sales in 2006 and then Ford in 2007, as Japanese automakers lured customers with more fuel- efficient vehicles. The big three U.S. automakers’ market share has plunged to 44.4 percent this year, from more than 70 percent a decade ago, while overall sales have slumped to the lowest volume in about three decades.

Honda, fifth in the U.S. since 1988, has outsold Chrysler this year as of April. Its sales in the country slid 32 percent to 332,014, compared with a 46 percent drop for Auburn Hills, Michigan-based Chrysler to 323,890. Overall U.S. sales are down 37 percent through the first four months of the year.

Chrysler Plunge

“Market share isn’t something we target,” said David Iida, a spokesman for Honda’s U.S. unit, based in Torrance, California. “We’re very committed to local production, irrespective of what other companies are doing.”

The automaker fell 1.6 percent to 2,855 yen as of 12:03 p.m. in Tokyo trading. The stock has risen 50 percent this year.

Industrywide North American car and light-truck production plunged 49 percent through April, with Chrysler leading declines among major manufacturers, according to Haig Stoddard, an IHS Global Insight analyst. Chrysler’s production in the period fell 57 percent to 322,773, based on company figures.

Honda built 305,762 autos at assembly plants in the U.S., Canada and Mexico through last month, down 40 percent from a year ago. The maker of Civic and Accord cars has U.S. plants in states including Ohio, Indiana and Alabama.

Chrysler, hoping to emerge from bankruptcy within 60 days as a new company led by Fiat SpA, halted work at most plants on May 4 while it reorganizes. The company also said it’s closing six factories that won’t be part of the Chrysler-Fiat deal.

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Sunday, May 10, 2009

Spanish Solar Subsidy Seduces FPL, Scorches Consumers

(Bloomberg) -- Spain has turned itself into the world’s biggest builder of solar-energy plants, attracting developers from the U.S. and France by guaranteeing prices that weigh down Spanish consumers.

The government promotes clean fuels by letting generators charge as much as 10 times more for power from the sun or wind than from burning coal. The premium, added to bills of homes and businesses, has spawned a solar-investment boom by utilities, from Florida’s FPL Group Inc. to Electricite de France SA.

As a result, developers now plan enough solar thermal projects to generate the power of nine new atomic reactors, or 14,000 megawatts if all get built, Spain’s industry ministry said. That’s the biggest project pipeline, beating sun-blessed Australia and the U.S., where Congress increased aid this year for alternative energy, an Emerging Energy Research study said.

“Who wouldn’t want to enter a business that’s paid many times more than the market rate, and where the customer is guaranteed for life?” said Gabriel Calzada, an economist and professor at Rey Juan Carlos University in Madrid.

Spanish law forces distributors to buy all clean energy produced in the first 25 years of a plant’s life and resell it to consumers. With little oil and lots of sun, Spain is betting the sacrifice will pay off as fossil fuels get more expensive and need costly emission permits under global-warming treaties.

Forty-two percent of power bills, or 95 euros ($127) for every Spaniard, will cover subsidized clean energy in 2009, the ministry estimates.

‘Heavy Price’

“We’re all paying a heavy price for green power,” said Calzada, an opponent of subsidies.

The government raised rates in May 2007 for solar thermal plants, which concentrate sunlight to make steam for power generation. They now earn about 300 euros a megawatt-hour, seven times the average rate coal- or natural gas-fired plants got this year.

A megawatt-hour supplies about 1,500 Spanish homes for an hour, or about half as many homes in the U.S.

“The guarantee is more attractive than what other countries offer,” said Karsten von Blumenthal, an industrial analyst at Hamburg-based SES Research GmbH. “Actually the U.S. has better space for solar, in the deserts of California and Nevada.” Still, the combination of U.S. tax credits and grants are a lesser incentive for developers, he said.

Florida to Spain

Spain’s solar deal was interesting enough for Juno Beach, Florida-based FPL to cross the Atlantic and propose two 50- megawatt solar thermal plants. EDF, France’s biggest power company, raised its stake last year to 90 percent in Fotosolar, a Spanish photovoltaic developer. FPL, the largest U.S. producer of wind power, wouldn’t say which subsidy system it preferred.

“I would not define Spain as more or less attractive, rather it is a new opportunity,” Steven Stengel, a spokesman for FPL unit NextEra Energy Resources LLC, said in an e-mailed response. FPL plans two U.S. plants totaling 325 megawatts.

Neither country gets more than 1 percent of power yet from solar thermal or photovoltaic plants, which use a technology that turns sunlight directly into electricity. Spain installed the most of both technologies last year, trade group data shows.

The two nations lead the world in solar thermal projects coming online by 2011, according to Cambridge, Massachusetts- based Emerging Energy Research. About 1,750 megawatts will be switched on in the U.S. by that year and twice that level in Spain, the research firm said in April.

U.S. Momentum

The U.S. now is regaining momentum lost almost 10 years ago when the government “changed policy, leaving solar technology on the shelf,” said Edward Soler, a business development executive for Spanish builder Abengoa SA. During that decade “Spain underwent a learning curve that was aided by a change in regulations” that improved incentives, he said.

Abengoa, which set up a 20-megawatt solar thermal plant near its Seville, Spain, headquarters, plans one 14 times that size, billed as the world’s biggest, about 60 miles outside of Phoenix to feed local utility Arizona Public Service Co.

In the U.S., where President Barack Obama backed increased incentives this year, 6,000 megawatts of solar thermal projects are under way, said Fred Morse, an official at the Washington- based Solar Energy Industries Association trade group.

Promoters in the U.S. must convince utilities to contract their power, a necessary step for most project financing. Also, they may be reimbursed for 30 percent of the plant’s cost through a tax credit or grant and can apply for federal loan guarantees. They earn no special power rate.

The U.S. can’t catch up until more rules on aid are published, Morse said.

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Thursday, May 7, 2009

Oracle won't divest Sun's hardware business

(Reuters) - Oracle Corp Chief Executive Larry Ellison said he won't sell off Sun Microsystems Inc's hardware business, dispelling speculation that he only wanted the company for its software units.

Ellison shook up Silicon Valley last month by sealing a more than $7 billion deal to buy Sun, the world's No. 4 maker of server computers and also the developer of Java and Solaris software. Oracle unexpectedly swooped in after Sun's talks with International Business Machines Corp broke apart.

"We are definitely not going to exit the hardware business," Ellison said in an email interview with Reuters. "If a company designs both hardware and software, it can build much better systems than if they only design the software. That's why Apple's iPhone is so much better than Microsoft phones."

His comments fly in the face of the belief of some analysts that Oracle, the world's largest database software maker, may divest Sun's server business and retain just its software assets, such as Java and Solaris.

Oracle's steadily rising profit margins have impressed Wall Street in recent years, and analysts say it is a risky move for it to buy Sun, which has lost $2 billion in the first three quarters of its current fiscal year.

Ellison declined to respond to a question on what he would do if efforts to turn around Sun's computer server business run into trouble. Sun's losses have piled up after losing market share to IBM as well as Hewlett-Packard Co.

His comments may reassure businesses that were hesitant to buy Sun hardware due to uncertainty over its future, said Charles King, an analyst with Pund-IT Research.

"There has been some speculation that Oracle is going to auction off Sun by bits and pieces to the highest bidder," King said. "You end up with customers, many of whom own millions or tens of millions of dollars of Sun hardware, looking for another vendor to deal with."

INVESTING IN SPARC CHIPS

Ellison said he plans to boost investment in Sun's SPARC microprocessors, which serve as the brains in its line of high-end Unix computers. The biggest buyers of these servers are large corporations and government agencies.

He believes that by jointly developing Oracle's existing arsenal of software with Sun's computers and SPARC chips, they can build machines designed for specific purposes that work better than ones pulled together from separate components.

Oracle has sought to do this in the past through partnerships with hardware makers, including HP.

"Once we own Sun, we'll be able to plan and synchronize new features from silicon to software, just like IBM and the other big system suppliers," Ellison said in the interview.

Oracle plans to work with Japan's Fujitsu Ltd, which helps Sun design its SPARC microprocessors, to add new features that will improve the performance of Oracle's database software when used on Sun's servers. That will make Sun hardware more competitive versus rival products from IBM than it is today, the CEO added.

The acquisition makes Oracle the world's fourth-largest maker of servers, and puts the software maker into the No. 2 slot in the high end of the server market, which was worth about $17 billion last year.

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Wednesday, May 6, 2009

Australia Unexpectedly Adds 27,300 Jobs, Pushing Up Currency

(Bloomberg) -- Australian employers unexpectedly added workers in April and the jobless rate dropped, driving the local currency to a seven-month high on signs the nation’s economy is skirting the worst of a global recession.

The number of people employed climbed 27,300 from March, the statistics bureau said in Sydney today. The median estimate of 19 economists surveyed by Bloomberg was for a decline of 25,000. The jobless rate fell to 5.4 percent from 5.7 percent.

Bonds yields rose on speculation the Reserve Bank of Australia’s record round of interest-rate cuts may be close to an end. A New Zealand report today showed that nation’s unemployment rate increased less than expected and U.S. figures yesterday revealed companies cut fewer jobs in April, adding to evidence the global contraction may be abating.

“We’re starting to see signs the global economy is recovering,” said Savanth Sebastian, an economist at Commonwealth Bank of Australia in Sydney. “The fundamentals for the Australian economy were very sound before this global economic crisis. Employers are a lot more hesitant in culling staff.”

Central bank Governor Glenn Stevens said this week that the effect on the economy of six interest-rate cuts since early September, which have taken the benchmark to a 49-year low of 3 percent, and government spending are “yet to be observed.”

Supermarket chains Woolworths Ltd. and Aldi are among companies that have announced plans to hire more workers in Australia.

Rate Expectations

The Australian dollar jumped to 75.57 U.S. cents at 12:11 p.m. in Sydney from 74.72 cents before the report was released. The two-year government bond yield climbed 11 basis points, or 0.11 percentage point, to 3.47 percent.

Traders now expect Australia’s benchmark interest rate will be higher in a year, according to a Credit Suisse Group index based on swaps trading.

Traders forecast the overnight cash rate target will be 8 basis points higher in 12 months, the index showed at 12:19 p.m. today in Sydney. Earlier today, they expected it to be 13 basis points lower and at the start of April, they forecast 37 basis points in reductions.

Reports yesterday showed Australian retail sales surged 2.2 percent in March from February, more than four times the increase that economists had forecast, and the trade surplus widened to the second highest on record as farm exports jumped.

Full-Time Jobs

The number of full-time jobs gained 49,100 in April and part-time employment decreased 21,800, today’s report showed.

“These are extraordinary numbers,” said Brian Redican, senior economist at Macquarie Group Ltd. in Sydney. “Things are not as bad in the economy as some people thought.”

To underpin the economy, Prime Minister Kevin Rudd is spending almost A$90 billion ($66 billion) on infrastructure, bond-market guarantees and cash handouts to consumers.

The central bank also moved to stoke domestic demand after the economy shrank in the fourth quarter for the first time in eight years. Policy makers cut the benchmark rate by a record 4.25 percentage points between September and April.

“The stance of monetary policy, together with the substantial fiscal initiatives, will provide significant support to domestic demand over the period ahead,” Governor Stevens said on May 5, when he left the rate unchanged.

Aldi said in February it will hire 2,600 people along Australia’s eastern coast this year as it opens as many as 30 new supermarkets. Woolworths, Australia’s biggest retailer, has said it expects to add 7,000 workers and reaffirmed its forecast for an increase in annual profit of as much as 12 percent.

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Tuesday, May 5, 2009

Bankruptcy Sleuths Find Cash in Trader Receipts for Lap Dancers

(Bloomberg) -- As Sentinel Management Group Inc. neared collapse in August 2007, piling up $950 million in losses, the Northbrook, Illinois-based investment firm wrote clients, saying it was yet another victim of the credit crunch -- an asset manager that grew too fast as it tried to ratchet up gains for customers.

The Securities and Exchange Commission didn’t buy the explanation of the 28-year-old company, which had about $1.4 billion under management, most of it for futures or commodities traders and hedge funds.

After a week-long examination, the SEC filed a civil suit against Sentinel in U.S. District Court in Chicago, accusing the company of, among other things, using client money to secure a $500 million credit line.

“The clients had no way of knowing that their assets had been used by Sentinel to obtain financing for its own purposes,” the SEC complaint says.

The task of unwinding Sentinel’s affairs and recovering money for an estimated 200 customers now falls to 56-year-old Frederick Grede, a former Chicago Board of Trade executive who is among the nation’s more than 1,400 federally appointed bankruptcy trustees.

These trustees -- along with overseers known as receivers -- find themselves in brisk demand these days as they sort through an avalanche of companies felled by the credit crisis and an assortment of alleged crooks and con artists who may have played a role in it.

Avalanche of Cases

On March 12, Bernard Madoff pleaded guilty to 11 counts of fraud as the operator of a $65 billion Ponzi scheme, the largest such fraud in history. With 64,318 companies filing for some form of bankruptcy last year -- a 50 percent increase from 2007 -- the job seldom has been more crucial.

“What receivers do is indispensable,” says Lewis Freeman, a Miami forensic accountant who has served as both a receiver and a trustee in overseeing the recovery and disposition of assets of companies that have collapsed as a result of frauds and the credit crunch.

“If you think of a case such as Madoff, the receiver all of a sudden is the CEO of a $50 billion fraud, responsible for preserving the assets, gathering information and figuring out where all the money went.”

Trustees and receivers bring broad powers to their jobs, sometimes sparking controversy. They can file civil suits on behalf of creditors, including investors, to recover money. Results of their civil investigations may lead to criminal charges by state or federal prosecutors.

Broad Powers

Federal bankruptcy law has evolved as a loosely regulated field, with no uniform application from jurisdiction to jurisdiction and no standard set of qualifications for those like Grede who get assigned to undertake the often complex work of mopping up defunct or troubled firms.

Grede is new to the trustee field. He won appointment by a federal bankruptcy judge in August 2007 after being nominated by a Sentinel creditors committee, whose members knew him from his 30-year career as a commodities executive. He started out in the Chicago Board of Trade’s surveillance department, conducting spot audits of traders.

A lawyer by education, he brings to his new job a digger’s mentality and a detective’s suspicious mind. His work on the Sentinel case is emblematic of what is core to a trustee’s job: to get to the bottom of a company’s collapse in order to recover assets for creditors.

As he delved into Sentinel’s demise, Grede says the case began to look like a parable of the current economic crisis. Grede laid out that case in a lawsuit filed in October 2007 in Chicago’s U.S. bankruptcy court against Sentinel’s chief trader, Charles Mosley, and its controlling shareholders, CEO Eric Bloom and his father, Philip Bloom, the company’s founder.

‘Phony’ Returns

In that suit, he alleges that the company defrauded and misled clients with “phony” returns while assuring those customers their cash was being parked in safe, liquid commercial paper or U.S. Treasuries. Grede says Sentinel was actually making huge bets on unorthodox 30-year instruments that turned out to be another example of financial engineering gone awry -- and hiding those bets with misleading accounting.

Grede says he began to understand Sentinel’s fondness for those instruments as he probed the machinations of Mosley, who had an alleged fondness for boozy lap dances, limousine rides and, according to additional lawsuits filed by Grede against outside brokers, bribes.

“I call it leverage gone wild,” Grede says. Neither Mosley, nor his lawyers, returned phone calls or e-mails seeking comment. The Blooms, in a settlement of Grede’s suit, agreed to return $10.7 million to Sentinel’s estate in exchange for a release of all claims.

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Monday, May 4, 2009

Fiat Raises Opel Offer To EUR1 Billion - Union Source

(AFP)--Italian auto maker Fiat SpA (F.MI) has raised its offer for troubled German rival Adam Opel AG to EUR1 billion, a labor leader told AFP Monday.

"Fiat has raised its offer a little to EUR1 billion," Rainer Einenkel, head of the Opel works committee at Opel's factory in Bochum in west Germany, said.

Another German union leader, Armin Schild, had said previously that the offer was worth less than EUR750 million.

But Einenkel, who works at the Opel plant in western Bochum, said one billion wasn't enough, noting that Opel needed EUR3.3 billion to keep running and develop further.

Fiat has not yet unveiled a true "financial plan and production plan," he added.

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Sunday, May 3, 2009

Colleges Flunk Economics Test as Harvard Model Destroys Budgets

(Bloomberg) -- On a Thursday morning in March, the $32 million School of Management building at Simmons College in Boston is all but deserted. Three students lounge in armchairs facing floor-to-ceiling windows that look over the quad with its winding walkways and greening lawn; another makes photocopies.

“This building is always empty,” says Raya Alazzouni, a sophomore from Saudi Arabia who’s studying graphic design and taking courses in the management school.

Simmons, home to 4,700 students, opened the 66,500-square- foot (6,200-square-meter) center in January, two months before the U.S. stock market hit its lowest point in 12 years. Even before the ribbon cutting, enrollment in the management school had been dropping.

Now, the vacant halls are reminders of the new math confounding U.S. colleges. Students, pummeled by scarce loans and savings plans that have fallen as much as 40 percent, are heading for less expensive schools. The perks designed to lure them during boom times -- from hot tubs to dorm-suite kitchenettes, to in-room cable TV -- are crushing universities with debt. Even projects like Simmons’s “green” management building, with its rain-absorbing roof patio and toilets with two flushing modes, can turn into burdens as schools struggle with rising expenses, plummeting endowments and needier applicants.

‘Spending Binge’

“The spending binge by colleges and universities was part of the same trend that created the bubble in the rest of the economy,” says Ronald Ehrenberg, an economics professor at Cornell University in Ithaca, New York, and author of “Tuition Rising: Why College Costs So Much” (Harvard University Press, 2000). “Now we’re seeing it burst.”

From Harvard University to California’s 3 million-student community college network, the American system of higher education is in turmoil. The economic crash is upending each step in the equation that families use to determine where students will spend four of their most formative -- and expensive -- years. Today is the deadline that most schools set to receive a decision from accepted applicants.

Independent colleges that lack a national name or must-have majors are hardest hit. Many gorged on debt for construction, technology and creature comforts. Now, as endowments tumble and bills mount, they’re struggling to attract cash-strapped families who are navigating their own financial woes.

Shutter Their Doors

Such mid-tier institutions may be forced to change what they do to survive. In the best case, they’ll merge with bigger schools, sell themselves to for-profit organizations or offer vocational training that elite colleges eschew, says Sandy Baum, a senior policy analyst at the College Board. In the worst case, they’ll shutter their doors for good.

Standard & Poor’s predicts bankruptcies will rise from the typical one or two schools that fold each year.

“Small colleges with no reputation could go out of business,” Baum says. “They’re very tuition-driven, so if they can’t get tuition revenues, they’ll be in really bad shape.”

College of Santa Fe, a private liberal arts institution, is one casualty. On March 24, the 1,900-student school in New Mexico announced it was closing. The reasons: It couldn’t pay its $30 million in debt, and talks to join with New Mexico Highlands University, a state school, broke down.

Richard Kneedler, a former president of Franklin & Marshall College, a Lancaster, Pennsylvania-based college founded in 1787 with financial support from Benjamin Franklin, says many small schools face the same predicament.

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