Wednesday, January 16, 2008

Oil Falls Below $90 for First Time in 4 Weeks as Supplies Rise

(Bloomberg) -- Crude oil fell below $90 a barrel for the first time in four weeks after a U.S. Energy Department report showed that supplies rose more than expected.

Inventories surged 4.29 million barrels to 287.1 million in the week ended Jan. 11, the first increase in nine weeks, the report showed. Supplies were expected to rise 1.25 million barrels, according to the median of 15 responses in a Bloomberg News survey.

``This confirms that the seasonal period of crude-oil inventory builds has begun and gotten off to a good start with a larger-than-expected build,'' said Eric Wittenauer, an analyst at A.G. Edwards & Sons Inc. in St. Louis.

Crude oil for February delivery fell $2.47, or 2.7 percent, to $89.43 a barrel at 10:56 a.m. on the New York Mercantile Exchange. Prices touched $89.35 today, the lowest since Dec. 18. Futures reached a record $100.09 a barrel on Jan. 3. Prices are up 75 percent from a year ago.

Brent crude for February settlement declined $2.09, or 2.3 percent, to $88.89 a barrel on London's ICE Futures Europe exchange. Futures touched $98.50 on Jan. 3, the highest intraday price since trading began in 1988.

Refineries operated at 87.1 percent of capacity, down 4.2 percentage points from the week before, the report showed. It was the biggest one-week drop since September 2005 when Hurricane Rita shut refineries in Texas and Louisiana after roaring in from the Gulf of Mexico.

``The big drop in refinery runs is the most shocking number inside the report,'' said Tim Evans, an energy analyst at Citigroup Global Markets Inc. in New York. ``It could be that we are seeing an early start to the next round of refinery maintenance.''
 

Boeing delays 787 by three more months

(Reuters) - Boeing Co (BA.N: Quote, Profile, Research) said on Wednesday it would push back first test flight and deliveries of its 787 Dreamliner by about three months, as it struggles with production of the new, carbon-fiber airplane.

The delay is the second major setback for the program in three months, after announcing a six-month delay in October.

Only a month ago Boeing's commercial airplane chief assured Wall Street that the plane was on track to meet its revised schedule.

Boeing said on Wednesday the first test flight of the plane would now take place around the end of the second quarter, compared with its previous target of near the end of March.

First deliveries of the plane are now scheduled for early 2009, rather than its previous estimate of late November or December this year.

Chicago-based Boeing said the new delay would not have a significant effect on 2008 results, but it would update its financial forecasts for this year when it reports quarterly earnings on January 30.

It plans to provide financial forecasts for 2009 when it reports first-quarter earnings at the end of April. The new delay is likely to have a greater impact on 2009, as that is when deliveries of the 787 are now scheduled to start.
 

Consumer prices data open door to rate cut

(Reuters) - Consumer prices rose modestly in December while industrial production was flat, leaving the door open for the Federal Reserve to slash interest rates later this month to shore up an economy that some fear is on the verge of a recession.

The reports released on Wednesday also showed consumer prices shot up last year at the fastest rate in 17 years, driven by soaring energy costs, while manufacturing growth was the weakest since 2003.

The data "underlines our view that we're on the razor's edge here, that we could be headed into recession," said Mike Schenk, senior economist with Credit Union National Association in Madison, Wisconsin.

Stock markets were mixed, with technology shares hurting after a disappointing earnings report from sector bellwether Intel Corp. Bond prices weakened while the dollar's value declined against other major currencies.

The Consumer Price Index, the most broadly used gauge of inflation, rose 0.3 percent in December, slightly ahead of economists' forecasts for a 0.2 percent rise, the Labor Department report showed.

Still, core prices that strip out volatile food and energy items rose 0.2 percent last month - in line with forecasts - following a 0.3 percent November increase.

For the full year, CPI jumped 4.1 percent, well ahead of the 2.5 percent increase posted in 2006 and the largest 12-month rise since a 6.1 percent increase in 1990. Core prices were up 2.4 percent for the full year, following a 2.6 percent pickup in 2006. That was the smallest 12-month rise in core prices since a 2.2 percent increase in 2005.
 

JPMorgan takes $1.3 billion writedown

(Reuters) - JPMorgan Chase & Co said on Wednesday quarterly profit fell a worse-than-expected 24 percent as the No. 3 U.S. bank lost $1.3 billion on risky mortgages and set aside more money for rising losses on home-equity loans.

The bank quadrupled to $1.1 billion the provision it needs to cover continued problems on home equity and subprime mortgage loans. It also said credit card spending slowed in December, a sign the U.S. economy could suffer as cash-strapped consumers face rising food and heating costs while the value of their homes slide.

"We remain extremely cautious as we enter 2008," JPMorgan Chief Executive Jamie Dimon said in a statement. He said a worsening U.S. economy would boost consumer credit losses beyond current levels.