(Reuters) - Most American homeowners believe their home's value has declined over the past year, but a majority also think a bottom has been reached, real estate website Zillow.com said on Thursday.
A majority, or 60 percent, believe their home lost value during the past 12 months, according to the Zillow Q1 Homeowner Confidence Survey.
In reality, 80 percent of homes across the country lost value during the past 12 months, according to Zillow's first-quarter Real Estate Market Reports.
Additionally, 18 percent believe their home gained value in the past 12 months, and 22 percent believe its value remained the same, according to the survey.
That resulted in a Zillow Home Value Misperception Index of five -- the lowest it has been since Zillow introduced the index in the second quarter of 2008 and down from 10 in the fourth quarter of 2008. A Misperception Index of zero would mean homeowners perceptions' were in line with actual values.
"The perception of American homeowners is finally catching up to reality, which is that 80 percent of all homes in the country lost value during this past year," Dr. Stan Humphries, Zillow's vice president of data and analytics, said in a statement accompanying the survey.
"While homeowners are now more realistic when looking backward, they are still pretty starry-eyed when looking forward, with three out of four homeowners believing that their own homes' prices will increase or be flat over the next six months. Unfortunately, there are few markets we expect to perform this well," he said.
Most homeowners -- 74 percent -- believe their home will not decline in value in the coming six months, effectively calling a bottom to their own home's housing slide, Zillow said.
Specifically, one in four homeowners, or 27 percent, think their home's value will increase in the next six months, while nearly half, or 47 percent, believe its value will remain the same. Homeowners were similarly optimistic when it came to predicting home values in their local markets, the survey showed.
Read more here
Wednesday, May 13, 2009
Tuesday, May 12, 2009
Hitachi down 10 percent, sees wider loss than consensus
(Reuters) - Shares in Hitachi Ltd (6501.T), Japan's biggest electronics maker, tumbled 10 percent after its wider-than-expected loss estimate spooked investors who expected its restructuring steps would help improve its earnings.
A price slump and weak demand have hurt almost every corner of Hitachi's sprawling operations, hitting its auto and chip businesses especially hard and forcing the company to book the biggest-ever annual loss by a Japanese manufacturer.
Hitachi shares lost 128 billion yen ($1.3 billion) in market value on Wednesday after it forecast a 270 billion yen net loss for the year to next March, more than double the consensus of a 125.2 billion yen loss predicted in a poll of 16 analysts by Thomson Reuters.
The loss estimate, meaning it would lose money for a fourth straight year, would still be much smaller than the 787.3 billion yen loss for last financial year.
That massive loss had prompted Hitachi to map out a $5 billion cost-cutting plan for the current year and shift resources to more stable infrastructure operations, and it had said it expected tough going again this year.
"Hitachi is making progress in structural reforms at its challenged businesses such as automotive and digital media/consumer electronics," Credit Suisse analyst Hideyuki Maekawa said in a note to clients.
"But its latest projection seems to make clear that its cost-cutting efforts will not be enough to offset the impact of reduced revenues in its profitable businesses."
Read more here
A price slump and weak demand have hurt almost every corner of Hitachi's sprawling operations, hitting its auto and chip businesses especially hard and forcing the company to book the biggest-ever annual loss by a Japanese manufacturer.
Hitachi shares lost 128 billion yen ($1.3 billion) in market value on Wednesday after it forecast a 270 billion yen net loss for the year to next March, more than double the consensus of a 125.2 billion yen loss predicted in a poll of 16 analysts by Thomson Reuters.
The loss estimate, meaning it would lose money for a fourth straight year, would still be much smaller than the 787.3 billion yen loss for last financial year.
That massive loss had prompted Hitachi to map out a $5 billion cost-cutting plan for the current year and shift resources to more stable infrastructure operations, and it had said it expected tough going again this year.
"Hitachi is making progress in structural reforms at its challenged businesses such as automotive and digital media/consumer electronics," Credit Suisse analyst Hideyuki Maekawa said in a note to clients.
"But its latest projection seems to make clear that its cost-cutting efforts will not be enough to offset the impact of reduced revenues in its profitable businesses."
Read more here
Monday, May 11, 2009
Honda May Pass Chrysler in North America Production
(Bloomberg) -- Honda Motor Co., Japan’s second- biggest automaker, may build more vehicles than bankrupt Chrysler LLC in North America this year, further weakening Detroit’s grip on its home market.
Honda narrowed the gap to 17,011 vehicles at the end of April from 236,645 a year earlier, and with most Chrysler plants shut for as long as 60 days analysts expect the Japanese automaker to overtake its rival. Honda may also surpass Chrysler in U.S. sales to trail only bankruptcy-threatened General Motors Corp., Toyota Motor Corp. and Ford Motor Co.
“There’s a sea change under way,” said Michael Robinet, an analyst at forecaster CSM Worldwide in Northville, Michigan. “This crisis with Chrysler and GM has acted as an accelerant to the systemic change that was already occurring.”
Toyota passed Chrysler in U.S. sales in 2006 and then Ford in 2007, as Japanese automakers lured customers with more fuel- efficient vehicles. The big three U.S. automakers’ market share has plunged to 44.4 percent this year, from more than 70 percent a decade ago, while overall sales have slumped to the lowest volume in about three decades.
Honda, fifth in the U.S. since 1988, has outsold Chrysler this year as of April. Its sales in the country slid 32 percent to 332,014, compared with a 46 percent drop for Auburn Hills, Michigan-based Chrysler to 323,890. Overall U.S. sales are down 37 percent through the first four months of the year.
Chrysler Plunge
“Market share isn’t something we target,” said David Iida, a spokesman for Honda’s U.S. unit, based in Torrance, California. “We’re very committed to local production, irrespective of what other companies are doing.”
The automaker fell 1.6 percent to 2,855 yen as of 12:03 p.m. in Tokyo trading. The stock has risen 50 percent this year.
Industrywide North American car and light-truck production plunged 49 percent through April, with Chrysler leading declines among major manufacturers, according to Haig Stoddard, an IHS Global Insight analyst. Chrysler’s production in the period fell 57 percent to 322,773, based on company figures.
Honda built 305,762 autos at assembly plants in the U.S., Canada and Mexico through last month, down 40 percent from a year ago. The maker of Civic and Accord cars has U.S. plants in states including Ohio, Indiana and Alabama.
Chrysler, hoping to emerge from bankruptcy within 60 days as a new company led by Fiat SpA, halted work at most plants on May 4 while it reorganizes. The company also said it’s closing six factories that won’t be part of the Chrysler-Fiat deal.
Read more here
Honda narrowed the gap to 17,011 vehicles at the end of April from 236,645 a year earlier, and with most Chrysler plants shut for as long as 60 days analysts expect the Japanese automaker to overtake its rival. Honda may also surpass Chrysler in U.S. sales to trail only bankruptcy-threatened General Motors Corp., Toyota Motor Corp. and Ford Motor Co.
“There’s a sea change under way,” said Michael Robinet, an analyst at forecaster CSM Worldwide in Northville, Michigan. “This crisis with Chrysler and GM has acted as an accelerant to the systemic change that was already occurring.”
Toyota passed Chrysler in U.S. sales in 2006 and then Ford in 2007, as Japanese automakers lured customers with more fuel- efficient vehicles. The big three U.S. automakers’ market share has plunged to 44.4 percent this year, from more than 70 percent a decade ago, while overall sales have slumped to the lowest volume in about three decades.
Honda, fifth in the U.S. since 1988, has outsold Chrysler this year as of April. Its sales in the country slid 32 percent to 332,014, compared with a 46 percent drop for Auburn Hills, Michigan-based Chrysler to 323,890. Overall U.S. sales are down 37 percent through the first four months of the year.
Chrysler Plunge
“Market share isn’t something we target,” said David Iida, a spokesman for Honda’s U.S. unit, based in Torrance, California. “We’re very committed to local production, irrespective of what other companies are doing.”
The automaker fell 1.6 percent to 2,855 yen as of 12:03 p.m. in Tokyo trading. The stock has risen 50 percent this year.
Industrywide North American car and light-truck production plunged 49 percent through April, with Chrysler leading declines among major manufacturers, according to Haig Stoddard, an IHS Global Insight analyst. Chrysler’s production in the period fell 57 percent to 322,773, based on company figures.
Honda built 305,762 autos at assembly plants in the U.S., Canada and Mexico through last month, down 40 percent from a year ago. The maker of Civic and Accord cars has U.S. plants in states including Ohio, Indiana and Alabama.
Chrysler, hoping to emerge from bankruptcy within 60 days as a new company led by Fiat SpA, halted work at most plants on May 4 while it reorganizes. The company also said it’s closing six factories that won’t be part of the Chrysler-Fiat deal.
Read more here
Sunday, May 10, 2009
Spanish Solar Subsidy Seduces FPL, Scorches Consumers
(Bloomberg) -- Spain has turned itself into the world’s biggest builder of solar-energy plants, attracting developers from the U.S. and France by guaranteeing prices that weigh down Spanish consumers.
The government promotes clean fuels by letting generators charge as much as 10 times more for power from the sun or wind than from burning coal. The premium, added to bills of homes and businesses, has spawned a solar-investment boom by utilities, from Florida’s FPL Group Inc. to Electricite de France SA.
As a result, developers now plan enough solar thermal projects to generate the power of nine new atomic reactors, or 14,000 megawatts if all get built, Spain’s industry ministry said. That’s the biggest project pipeline, beating sun-blessed Australia and the U.S., where Congress increased aid this year for alternative energy, an Emerging Energy Research study said.
“Who wouldn’t want to enter a business that’s paid many times more than the market rate, and where the customer is guaranteed for life?” said Gabriel Calzada, an economist and professor at Rey Juan Carlos University in Madrid.
Spanish law forces distributors to buy all clean energy produced in the first 25 years of a plant’s life and resell it to consumers. With little oil and lots of sun, Spain is betting the sacrifice will pay off as fossil fuels get more expensive and need costly emission permits under global-warming treaties.
Forty-two percent of power bills, or 95 euros ($127) for every Spaniard, will cover subsidized clean energy in 2009, the ministry estimates.
‘Heavy Price’
“We’re all paying a heavy price for green power,” said Calzada, an opponent of subsidies.
The government raised rates in May 2007 for solar thermal plants, which concentrate sunlight to make steam for power generation. They now earn about 300 euros a megawatt-hour, seven times the average rate coal- or natural gas-fired plants got this year.
A megawatt-hour supplies about 1,500 Spanish homes for an hour, or about half as many homes in the U.S.
“The guarantee is more attractive than what other countries offer,” said Karsten von Blumenthal, an industrial analyst at Hamburg-based SES Research GmbH. “Actually the U.S. has better space for solar, in the deserts of California and Nevada.” Still, the combination of U.S. tax credits and grants are a lesser incentive for developers, he said.
Florida to Spain
Spain’s solar deal was interesting enough for Juno Beach, Florida-based FPL to cross the Atlantic and propose two 50- megawatt solar thermal plants. EDF, France’s biggest power company, raised its stake last year to 90 percent in Fotosolar, a Spanish photovoltaic developer. FPL, the largest U.S. producer of wind power, wouldn’t say which subsidy system it preferred.
“I would not define Spain as more or less attractive, rather it is a new opportunity,” Steven Stengel, a spokesman for FPL unit NextEra Energy Resources LLC, said in an e-mailed response. FPL plans two U.S. plants totaling 325 megawatts.
Neither country gets more than 1 percent of power yet from solar thermal or photovoltaic plants, which use a technology that turns sunlight directly into electricity. Spain installed the most of both technologies last year, trade group data shows.
The two nations lead the world in solar thermal projects coming online by 2011, according to Cambridge, Massachusetts- based Emerging Energy Research. About 1,750 megawatts will be switched on in the U.S. by that year and twice that level in Spain, the research firm said in April.
U.S. Momentum
The U.S. now is regaining momentum lost almost 10 years ago when the government “changed policy, leaving solar technology on the shelf,” said Edward Soler, a business development executive for Spanish builder Abengoa SA. During that decade “Spain underwent a learning curve that was aided by a change in regulations” that improved incentives, he said.
Abengoa, which set up a 20-megawatt solar thermal plant near its Seville, Spain, headquarters, plans one 14 times that size, billed as the world’s biggest, about 60 miles outside of Phoenix to feed local utility Arizona Public Service Co.
In the U.S., where President Barack Obama backed increased incentives this year, 6,000 megawatts of solar thermal projects are under way, said Fred Morse, an official at the Washington- based Solar Energy Industries Association trade group.
Promoters in the U.S. must convince utilities to contract their power, a necessary step for most project financing. Also, they may be reimbursed for 30 percent of the plant’s cost through a tax credit or grant and can apply for federal loan guarantees. They earn no special power rate.
The U.S. can’t catch up until more rules on aid are published, Morse said.
Read more here
The government promotes clean fuels by letting generators charge as much as 10 times more for power from the sun or wind than from burning coal. The premium, added to bills of homes and businesses, has spawned a solar-investment boom by utilities, from Florida’s FPL Group Inc. to Electricite de France SA.
As a result, developers now plan enough solar thermal projects to generate the power of nine new atomic reactors, or 14,000 megawatts if all get built, Spain’s industry ministry said. That’s the biggest project pipeline, beating sun-blessed Australia and the U.S., where Congress increased aid this year for alternative energy, an Emerging Energy Research study said.
“Who wouldn’t want to enter a business that’s paid many times more than the market rate, and where the customer is guaranteed for life?” said Gabriel Calzada, an economist and professor at Rey Juan Carlos University in Madrid.
Spanish law forces distributors to buy all clean energy produced in the first 25 years of a plant’s life and resell it to consumers. With little oil and lots of sun, Spain is betting the sacrifice will pay off as fossil fuels get more expensive and need costly emission permits under global-warming treaties.
Forty-two percent of power bills, or 95 euros ($127) for every Spaniard, will cover subsidized clean energy in 2009, the ministry estimates.
‘Heavy Price’
“We’re all paying a heavy price for green power,” said Calzada, an opponent of subsidies.
The government raised rates in May 2007 for solar thermal plants, which concentrate sunlight to make steam for power generation. They now earn about 300 euros a megawatt-hour, seven times the average rate coal- or natural gas-fired plants got this year.
A megawatt-hour supplies about 1,500 Spanish homes for an hour, or about half as many homes in the U.S.
“The guarantee is more attractive than what other countries offer,” said Karsten von Blumenthal, an industrial analyst at Hamburg-based SES Research GmbH. “Actually the U.S. has better space for solar, in the deserts of California and Nevada.” Still, the combination of U.S. tax credits and grants are a lesser incentive for developers, he said.
Florida to Spain
Spain’s solar deal was interesting enough for Juno Beach, Florida-based FPL to cross the Atlantic and propose two 50- megawatt solar thermal plants. EDF, France’s biggest power company, raised its stake last year to 90 percent in Fotosolar, a Spanish photovoltaic developer. FPL, the largest U.S. producer of wind power, wouldn’t say which subsidy system it preferred.
“I would not define Spain as more or less attractive, rather it is a new opportunity,” Steven Stengel, a spokesman for FPL unit NextEra Energy Resources LLC, said in an e-mailed response. FPL plans two U.S. plants totaling 325 megawatts.
Neither country gets more than 1 percent of power yet from solar thermal or photovoltaic plants, which use a technology that turns sunlight directly into electricity. Spain installed the most of both technologies last year, trade group data shows.
The two nations lead the world in solar thermal projects coming online by 2011, according to Cambridge, Massachusetts- based Emerging Energy Research. About 1,750 megawatts will be switched on in the U.S. by that year and twice that level in Spain, the research firm said in April.
U.S. Momentum
The U.S. now is regaining momentum lost almost 10 years ago when the government “changed policy, leaving solar technology on the shelf,” said Edward Soler, a business development executive for Spanish builder Abengoa SA. During that decade “Spain underwent a learning curve that was aided by a change in regulations” that improved incentives, he said.
Abengoa, which set up a 20-megawatt solar thermal plant near its Seville, Spain, headquarters, plans one 14 times that size, billed as the world’s biggest, about 60 miles outside of Phoenix to feed local utility Arizona Public Service Co.
In the U.S., where President Barack Obama backed increased incentives this year, 6,000 megawatts of solar thermal projects are under way, said Fred Morse, an official at the Washington- based Solar Energy Industries Association trade group.
Promoters in the U.S. must convince utilities to contract their power, a necessary step for most project financing. Also, they may be reimbursed for 30 percent of the plant’s cost through a tax credit or grant and can apply for federal loan guarantees. They earn no special power rate.
The U.S. can’t catch up until more rules on aid are published, Morse said.
Read more here
Thursday, May 7, 2009
Oracle won't divest Sun's hardware business
(Reuters) - Oracle Corp Chief Executive Larry Ellison said he won't sell off Sun Microsystems Inc's hardware business, dispelling speculation that he only wanted the company for its software units.
Ellison shook up Silicon Valley last month by sealing a more than $7 billion deal to buy Sun, the world's No. 4 maker of server computers and also the developer of Java and Solaris software. Oracle unexpectedly swooped in after Sun's talks with International Business Machines Corp broke apart.
"We are definitely not going to exit the hardware business," Ellison said in an email interview with Reuters. "If a company designs both hardware and software, it can build much better systems than if they only design the software. That's why Apple's iPhone is so much better than Microsoft phones."
His comments fly in the face of the belief of some analysts that Oracle, the world's largest database software maker, may divest Sun's server business and retain just its software assets, such as Java and Solaris.
Oracle's steadily rising profit margins have impressed Wall Street in recent years, and analysts say it is a risky move for it to buy Sun, which has lost $2 billion in the first three quarters of its current fiscal year.
Ellison declined to respond to a question on what he would do if efforts to turn around Sun's computer server business run into trouble. Sun's losses have piled up after losing market share to IBM as well as Hewlett-Packard Co.
His comments may reassure businesses that were hesitant to buy Sun hardware due to uncertainty over its future, said Charles King, an analyst with Pund-IT Research.
"There has been some speculation that Oracle is going to auction off Sun by bits and pieces to the highest bidder," King said. "You end up with customers, many of whom own millions or tens of millions of dollars of Sun hardware, looking for another vendor to deal with."
INVESTING IN SPARC CHIPS
Ellison said he plans to boost investment in Sun's SPARC microprocessors, which serve as the brains in its line of high-end Unix computers. The biggest buyers of these servers are large corporations and government agencies.
He believes that by jointly developing Oracle's existing arsenal of software with Sun's computers and SPARC chips, they can build machines designed for specific purposes that work better than ones pulled together from separate components.
Oracle has sought to do this in the past through partnerships with hardware makers, including HP.
"Once we own Sun, we'll be able to plan and synchronize new features from silicon to software, just like IBM and the other big system suppliers," Ellison said in the interview.
Oracle plans to work with Japan's Fujitsu Ltd, which helps Sun design its SPARC microprocessors, to add new features that will improve the performance of Oracle's database software when used on Sun's servers. That will make Sun hardware more competitive versus rival products from IBM than it is today, the CEO added.
The acquisition makes Oracle the world's fourth-largest maker of servers, and puts the software maker into the No. 2 slot in the high end of the server market, which was worth about $17 billion last year.
Read more here
Ellison shook up Silicon Valley last month by sealing a more than $7 billion deal to buy Sun, the world's No. 4 maker of server computers and also the developer of Java and Solaris software. Oracle unexpectedly swooped in after Sun's talks with International Business Machines Corp broke apart.
"We are definitely not going to exit the hardware business," Ellison said in an email interview with Reuters. "If a company designs both hardware and software, it can build much better systems than if they only design the software. That's why Apple's iPhone is so much better than Microsoft phones."
His comments fly in the face of the belief of some analysts that Oracle, the world's largest database software maker, may divest Sun's server business and retain just its software assets, such as Java and Solaris.
Oracle's steadily rising profit margins have impressed Wall Street in recent years, and analysts say it is a risky move for it to buy Sun, which has lost $2 billion in the first three quarters of its current fiscal year.
Ellison declined to respond to a question on what he would do if efforts to turn around Sun's computer server business run into trouble. Sun's losses have piled up after losing market share to IBM as well as Hewlett-Packard Co.
His comments may reassure businesses that were hesitant to buy Sun hardware due to uncertainty over its future, said Charles King, an analyst with Pund-IT Research.
"There has been some speculation that Oracle is going to auction off Sun by bits and pieces to the highest bidder," King said. "You end up with customers, many of whom own millions or tens of millions of dollars of Sun hardware, looking for another vendor to deal with."
INVESTING IN SPARC CHIPS
Ellison said he plans to boost investment in Sun's SPARC microprocessors, which serve as the brains in its line of high-end Unix computers. The biggest buyers of these servers are large corporations and government agencies.
He believes that by jointly developing Oracle's existing arsenal of software with Sun's computers and SPARC chips, they can build machines designed for specific purposes that work better than ones pulled together from separate components.
Oracle has sought to do this in the past through partnerships with hardware makers, including HP.
"Once we own Sun, we'll be able to plan and synchronize new features from silicon to software, just like IBM and the other big system suppliers," Ellison said in the interview.
Oracle plans to work with Japan's Fujitsu Ltd, which helps Sun design its SPARC microprocessors, to add new features that will improve the performance of Oracle's database software when used on Sun's servers. That will make Sun hardware more competitive versus rival products from IBM than it is today, the CEO added.
The acquisition makes Oracle the world's fourth-largest maker of servers, and puts the software maker into the No. 2 slot in the high end of the server market, which was worth about $17 billion last year.
Read more here
Wednesday, May 6, 2009
Australia Unexpectedly Adds 27,300 Jobs, Pushing Up Currency
(Bloomberg) -- Australian employers unexpectedly added workers in April and the jobless rate dropped, driving the local currency to a seven-month high on signs the nation’s economy is skirting the worst of a global recession.
The number of people employed climbed 27,300 from March, the statistics bureau said in Sydney today. The median estimate of 19 economists surveyed by Bloomberg was for a decline of 25,000. The jobless rate fell to 5.4 percent from 5.7 percent.
Bonds yields rose on speculation the Reserve Bank of Australia’s record round of interest-rate cuts may be close to an end. A New Zealand report today showed that nation’s unemployment rate increased less than expected and U.S. figures yesterday revealed companies cut fewer jobs in April, adding to evidence the global contraction may be abating.
“We’re starting to see signs the global economy is recovering,” said Savanth Sebastian, an economist at Commonwealth Bank of Australia in Sydney. “The fundamentals for the Australian economy were very sound before this global economic crisis. Employers are a lot more hesitant in culling staff.”
Central bank Governor Glenn Stevens said this week that the effect on the economy of six interest-rate cuts since early September, which have taken the benchmark to a 49-year low of 3 percent, and government spending are “yet to be observed.”
Supermarket chains Woolworths Ltd. and Aldi are among companies that have announced plans to hire more workers in Australia.
Rate Expectations
The Australian dollar jumped to 75.57 U.S. cents at 12:11 p.m. in Sydney from 74.72 cents before the report was released. The two-year government bond yield climbed 11 basis points, or 0.11 percentage point, to 3.47 percent.
Traders now expect Australia’s benchmark interest rate will be higher in a year, according to a Credit Suisse Group index based on swaps trading.
Traders forecast the overnight cash rate target will be 8 basis points higher in 12 months, the index showed at 12:19 p.m. today in Sydney. Earlier today, they expected it to be 13 basis points lower and at the start of April, they forecast 37 basis points in reductions.
Reports yesterday showed Australian retail sales surged 2.2 percent in March from February, more than four times the increase that economists had forecast, and the trade surplus widened to the second highest on record as farm exports jumped.
Full-Time Jobs
The number of full-time jobs gained 49,100 in April and part-time employment decreased 21,800, today’s report showed.
“These are extraordinary numbers,” said Brian Redican, senior economist at Macquarie Group Ltd. in Sydney. “Things are not as bad in the economy as some people thought.”
To underpin the economy, Prime Minister Kevin Rudd is spending almost A$90 billion ($66 billion) on infrastructure, bond-market guarantees and cash handouts to consumers.
The central bank also moved to stoke domestic demand after the economy shrank in the fourth quarter for the first time in eight years. Policy makers cut the benchmark rate by a record 4.25 percentage points between September and April.
“The stance of monetary policy, together with the substantial fiscal initiatives, will provide significant support to domestic demand over the period ahead,” Governor Stevens said on May 5, when he left the rate unchanged.
Aldi said in February it will hire 2,600 people along Australia’s eastern coast this year as it opens as many as 30 new supermarkets. Woolworths, Australia’s biggest retailer, has said it expects to add 7,000 workers and reaffirmed its forecast for an increase in annual profit of as much as 12 percent.
Read more here
The number of people employed climbed 27,300 from March, the statistics bureau said in Sydney today. The median estimate of 19 economists surveyed by Bloomberg was for a decline of 25,000. The jobless rate fell to 5.4 percent from 5.7 percent.
Bonds yields rose on speculation the Reserve Bank of Australia’s record round of interest-rate cuts may be close to an end. A New Zealand report today showed that nation’s unemployment rate increased less than expected and U.S. figures yesterday revealed companies cut fewer jobs in April, adding to evidence the global contraction may be abating.
“We’re starting to see signs the global economy is recovering,” said Savanth Sebastian, an economist at Commonwealth Bank of Australia in Sydney. “The fundamentals for the Australian economy were very sound before this global economic crisis. Employers are a lot more hesitant in culling staff.”
Central bank Governor Glenn Stevens said this week that the effect on the economy of six interest-rate cuts since early September, which have taken the benchmark to a 49-year low of 3 percent, and government spending are “yet to be observed.”
Supermarket chains Woolworths Ltd. and Aldi are among companies that have announced plans to hire more workers in Australia.
Rate Expectations
The Australian dollar jumped to 75.57 U.S. cents at 12:11 p.m. in Sydney from 74.72 cents before the report was released. The two-year government bond yield climbed 11 basis points, or 0.11 percentage point, to 3.47 percent.
Traders now expect Australia’s benchmark interest rate will be higher in a year, according to a Credit Suisse Group index based on swaps trading.
Traders forecast the overnight cash rate target will be 8 basis points higher in 12 months, the index showed at 12:19 p.m. today in Sydney. Earlier today, they expected it to be 13 basis points lower and at the start of April, they forecast 37 basis points in reductions.
Reports yesterday showed Australian retail sales surged 2.2 percent in March from February, more than four times the increase that economists had forecast, and the trade surplus widened to the second highest on record as farm exports jumped.
Full-Time Jobs
The number of full-time jobs gained 49,100 in April and part-time employment decreased 21,800, today’s report showed.
“These are extraordinary numbers,” said Brian Redican, senior economist at Macquarie Group Ltd. in Sydney. “Things are not as bad in the economy as some people thought.”
To underpin the economy, Prime Minister Kevin Rudd is spending almost A$90 billion ($66 billion) on infrastructure, bond-market guarantees and cash handouts to consumers.
The central bank also moved to stoke domestic demand after the economy shrank in the fourth quarter for the first time in eight years. Policy makers cut the benchmark rate by a record 4.25 percentage points between September and April.
“The stance of monetary policy, together with the substantial fiscal initiatives, will provide significant support to domestic demand over the period ahead,” Governor Stevens said on May 5, when he left the rate unchanged.
Aldi said in February it will hire 2,600 people along Australia’s eastern coast this year as it opens as many as 30 new supermarkets. Woolworths, Australia’s biggest retailer, has said it expects to add 7,000 workers and reaffirmed its forecast for an increase in annual profit of as much as 12 percent.
Read more here
Tuesday, May 5, 2009
Bankruptcy Sleuths Find Cash in Trader Receipts for Lap Dancers
(Bloomberg) -- As Sentinel Management Group Inc. neared collapse in August 2007, piling up $950 million in losses, the Northbrook, Illinois-based investment firm wrote clients, saying it was yet another victim of the credit crunch -- an asset manager that grew too fast as it tried to ratchet up gains for customers.
The Securities and Exchange Commission didn’t buy the explanation of the 28-year-old company, which had about $1.4 billion under management, most of it for futures or commodities traders and hedge funds.
After a week-long examination, the SEC filed a civil suit against Sentinel in U.S. District Court in Chicago, accusing the company of, among other things, using client money to secure a $500 million credit line.
“The clients had no way of knowing that their assets had been used by Sentinel to obtain financing for its own purposes,” the SEC complaint says.
The task of unwinding Sentinel’s affairs and recovering money for an estimated 200 customers now falls to 56-year-old Frederick Grede, a former Chicago Board of Trade executive who is among the nation’s more than 1,400 federally appointed bankruptcy trustees.
These trustees -- along with overseers known as receivers -- find themselves in brisk demand these days as they sort through an avalanche of companies felled by the credit crisis and an assortment of alleged crooks and con artists who may have played a role in it.
Avalanche of Cases
On March 12, Bernard Madoff pleaded guilty to 11 counts of fraud as the operator of a $65 billion Ponzi scheme, the largest such fraud in history. With 64,318 companies filing for some form of bankruptcy last year -- a 50 percent increase from 2007 -- the job seldom has been more crucial.
“What receivers do is indispensable,” says Lewis Freeman, a Miami forensic accountant who has served as both a receiver and a trustee in overseeing the recovery and disposition of assets of companies that have collapsed as a result of frauds and the credit crunch.
“If you think of a case such as Madoff, the receiver all of a sudden is the CEO of a $50 billion fraud, responsible for preserving the assets, gathering information and figuring out where all the money went.”
Trustees and receivers bring broad powers to their jobs, sometimes sparking controversy. They can file civil suits on behalf of creditors, including investors, to recover money. Results of their civil investigations may lead to criminal charges by state or federal prosecutors.
Broad Powers
Federal bankruptcy law has evolved as a loosely regulated field, with no uniform application from jurisdiction to jurisdiction and no standard set of qualifications for those like Grede who get assigned to undertake the often complex work of mopping up defunct or troubled firms.
Grede is new to the trustee field. He won appointment by a federal bankruptcy judge in August 2007 after being nominated by a Sentinel creditors committee, whose members knew him from his 30-year career as a commodities executive. He started out in the Chicago Board of Trade’s surveillance department, conducting spot audits of traders.
A lawyer by education, he brings to his new job a digger’s mentality and a detective’s suspicious mind. His work on the Sentinel case is emblematic of what is core to a trustee’s job: to get to the bottom of a company’s collapse in order to recover assets for creditors.
As he delved into Sentinel’s demise, Grede says the case began to look like a parable of the current economic crisis. Grede laid out that case in a lawsuit filed in October 2007 in Chicago’s U.S. bankruptcy court against Sentinel’s chief trader, Charles Mosley, and its controlling shareholders, CEO Eric Bloom and his father, Philip Bloom, the company’s founder.
‘Phony’ Returns
In that suit, he alleges that the company defrauded and misled clients with “phony” returns while assuring those customers their cash was being parked in safe, liquid commercial paper or U.S. Treasuries. Grede says Sentinel was actually making huge bets on unorthodox 30-year instruments that turned out to be another example of financial engineering gone awry -- and hiding those bets with misleading accounting.
Grede says he began to understand Sentinel’s fondness for those instruments as he probed the machinations of Mosley, who had an alleged fondness for boozy lap dances, limousine rides and, according to additional lawsuits filed by Grede against outside brokers, bribes.
“I call it leverage gone wild,” Grede says. Neither Mosley, nor his lawyers, returned phone calls or e-mails seeking comment. The Blooms, in a settlement of Grede’s suit, agreed to return $10.7 million to Sentinel’s estate in exchange for a release of all claims.
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The Securities and Exchange Commission didn’t buy the explanation of the 28-year-old company, which had about $1.4 billion under management, most of it for futures or commodities traders and hedge funds.
After a week-long examination, the SEC filed a civil suit against Sentinel in U.S. District Court in Chicago, accusing the company of, among other things, using client money to secure a $500 million credit line.
“The clients had no way of knowing that their assets had been used by Sentinel to obtain financing for its own purposes,” the SEC complaint says.
The task of unwinding Sentinel’s affairs and recovering money for an estimated 200 customers now falls to 56-year-old Frederick Grede, a former Chicago Board of Trade executive who is among the nation’s more than 1,400 federally appointed bankruptcy trustees.
These trustees -- along with overseers known as receivers -- find themselves in brisk demand these days as they sort through an avalanche of companies felled by the credit crisis and an assortment of alleged crooks and con artists who may have played a role in it.
Avalanche of Cases
On March 12, Bernard Madoff pleaded guilty to 11 counts of fraud as the operator of a $65 billion Ponzi scheme, the largest such fraud in history. With 64,318 companies filing for some form of bankruptcy last year -- a 50 percent increase from 2007 -- the job seldom has been more crucial.
“What receivers do is indispensable,” says Lewis Freeman, a Miami forensic accountant who has served as both a receiver and a trustee in overseeing the recovery and disposition of assets of companies that have collapsed as a result of frauds and the credit crunch.
“If you think of a case such as Madoff, the receiver all of a sudden is the CEO of a $50 billion fraud, responsible for preserving the assets, gathering information and figuring out where all the money went.”
Trustees and receivers bring broad powers to their jobs, sometimes sparking controversy. They can file civil suits on behalf of creditors, including investors, to recover money. Results of their civil investigations may lead to criminal charges by state or federal prosecutors.
Broad Powers
Federal bankruptcy law has evolved as a loosely regulated field, with no uniform application from jurisdiction to jurisdiction and no standard set of qualifications for those like Grede who get assigned to undertake the often complex work of mopping up defunct or troubled firms.
Grede is new to the trustee field. He won appointment by a federal bankruptcy judge in August 2007 after being nominated by a Sentinel creditors committee, whose members knew him from his 30-year career as a commodities executive. He started out in the Chicago Board of Trade’s surveillance department, conducting spot audits of traders.
A lawyer by education, he brings to his new job a digger’s mentality and a detective’s suspicious mind. His work on the Sentinel case is emblematic of what is core to a trustee’s job: to get to the bottom of a company’s collapse in order to recover assets for creditors.
As he delved into Sentinel’s demise, Grede says the case began to look like a parable of the current economic crisis. Grede laid out that case in a lawsuit filed in October 2007 in Chicago’s U.S. bankruptcy court against Sentinel’s chief trader, Charles Mosley, and its controlling shareholders, CEO Eric Bloom and his father, Philip Bloom, the company’s founder.
‘Phony’ Returns
In that suit, he alleges that the company defrauded and misled clients with “phony” returns while assuring those customers their cash was being parked in safe, liquid commercial paper or U.S. Treasuries. Grede says Sentinel was actually making huge bets on unorthodox 30-year instruments that turned out to be another example of financial engineering gone awry -- and hiding those bets with misleading accounting.
Grede says he began to understand Sentinel’s fondness for those instruments as he probed the machinations of Mosley, who had an alleged fondness for boozy lap dances, limousine rides and, according to additional lawsuits filed by Grede against outside brokers, bribes.
“I call it leverage gone wild,” Grede says. Neither Mosley, nor his lawyers, returned phone calls or e-mails seeking comment. The Blooms, in a settlement of Grede’s suit, agreed to return $10.7 million to Sentinel’s estate in exchange for a release of all claims.
Read more here
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