Wednesday, May 13, 2009

Most U.S. homeowners think a bottom has been reached: Zillow

(Reuters) - Most American homeowners believe their home's value has declined over the past year, but a majority also think a bottom has been reached, real estate website Zillow.com said on Thursday.

A majority, or 60 percent, believe their home lost value during the past 12 months, according to the Zillow Q1 Homeowner Confidence Survey.

In reality, 80 percent of homes across the country lost value during the past 12 months, according to Zillow's first-quarter Real Estate Market Reports.

Additionally, 18 percent believe their home gained value in the past 12 months, and 22 percent believe its value remained the same, according to the survey.

That resulted in a Zillow Home Value Misperception Index of five -- the lowest it has been since Zillow introduced the index in the second quarter of 2008 and down from 10 in the fourth quarter of 2008. A Misperception Index of zero would mean homeowners perceptions' were in line with actual values.

"The perception of American homeowners is finally catching up to reality, which is that 80 percent of all homes in the country lost value during this past year," Dr. Stan Humphries, Zillow's vice president of data and analytics, said in a statement accompanying the survey.

"While homeowners are now more realistic when looking backward, they are still pretty starry-eyed when looking forward, with three out of four homeowners believing that their own homes' prices will increase or be flat over the next six months. Unfortunately, there are few markets we expect to perform this well," he said.

Most homeowners -- 74 percent -- believe their home will not decline in value in the coming six months, effectively calling a bottom to their own home's housing slide, Zillow said.

Specifically, one in four homeowners, or 27 percent, think their home's value will increase in the next six months, while nearly half, or 47 percent, believe its value will remain the same. Homeowners were similarly optimistic when it came to predicting home values in their local markets, the survey showed.

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